Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 417.705655 473.701051 535.544967 609.105343 694.462817 790.679535 907.755754
2026-02-08 331.658084 404.865614 492.843824 607.132143 752.790152 933.709840 1177.756444
2026-02-15 281.731470 361.016270 461.800883 600.785808 789.777255 1041.138387 1406.373493
2026-02-22 250.462391 333.743032 444.541312 605.034539 835.400839 1160.074565 1663.080112
2026-03-01 222.155190 305.711745 421.153176 595.406690 857.265620 1245.170977 1880.725841
2026-03-08 201.005999 284.569421 403.944559 590.901416 883.743990 1337.754554 2121.211263
2026-03-15 178.779480 259.213864 377.408690 568.421618 878.474914 1378.556256 2281.772908
2026-03-22 170.121735 252.866588 378.099585 587.300075 939.998098 1533.541540 2660.039559
2026-03-29 163.600389 248.948113 381.788830 610.837499 1011.386851 1713.941741 3114.164974
2026-04-05 153.196527 237.841932 372.794452 611.944447 1043.711414 1829.107383 3464.081480
2026-04-12 141.285484 223.209799 356.591243 598.708756 1048.335436 1893.204218 3722.313041
2026-04-19 131.095901 210.539332 342.466368 587.472897 1054.891921 1961.077225 3999.156280
2026-04-26 126.120247 206.399135 342.784793 602.857354 1114.859363 2144.628003 4567.933551
2026-05-03 118.811158 197.665462 334.334122 601.099400 1141.153790 2263.703786 5015.947452
2026-05-10 111.564204 188.435861 324.141942 594.815032 1157.232849 2362.976812 5436.448659
2026-05-17 106.471253 182.627836 319.625397 599.015984 1195.400852 2515.854720 6022.454842
2026-05-24 100.015957 173.847622 308.838162 589.497524 1202.848374 2599.908447 6447.321437
2026-05-31 94.758101 166.893525 300.932799 585.043366 1220.799203 2711.052679 6970.452520
2026-06-07 87.823309 156.317918 285.251859 562.817767 1195.927282 2715.045685 7191.358629
2026-06-14 86.094266 155.521362 288.613057 581.482843 1267.899817 2970.846475 8214.487838
2026-06-21 84.914049 155.683198 293.860499 604.752846 1353.880992 3277.291984 9476.780338
2026-06-28 81.514694 151.236789 289.389554 605.847181 1385.719237 3445.012792 10337.765157
2026-07-05 76.981324 144.234351 279.129439 592.762093 1380.320069 3509.495833 10867.799404